Wednesday, November 30, 2005

Lies and Statistics

Benjamin Disraeli, the prime minister of the British Empire from 1874-1880, was reported by Mark Twain to have uttered this brilliant quote on statistical analysis: “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damn lies, and statistics.”

ESPN helps us expose some lies and statistics about the NFL today. In an interesting series, they credit Jeremy Green, the Cleveland Browns' director of pro personnel during 2000-2004, for some number crunching that let us know some leading statistical indicators for winning (such as winning the turnover margin and leading after the first quarter), in pro football. He also explodes some theories as mythical (fewest penalties wins and the top playoff seed will be Supre Bowl bound).

Truisms and Untruths [ESPN]
Five Deadly Sins [ESPN]
Five Big-Time Myths [ESPN]

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